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Excelsior MVV betting prediction
 Excelsior |
|  MVV |
Betting suggestion:
The 11th round of the 2024/2025 Eerste Divisie presents another clash of opposites: Excelsior, the best home team in the league, with the most goals scored at home and the second-best attacking side overall, faces MVV, the second-worst away team with the fewest goals scored on the road. Naturally, there is an expectation of high intensity and offensive pressure from the home side as they aim for a victory that could propel them to the top of the table. Given this scenario, we will bet on the "Specials" market, specifically the option "Excelsior to score in Both Halves." It’s worth noting that of the 14 goals scored by Excelsior at home, 7 have come in each half. This bet has been successful in all of Excelsior's home matches this season.
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Preview
Excelsior and MVV face at Van Donge & De Roo Stadion, in a match for the 11th round of the Eerste Divisie. At this stadium, the head‑to‑head history favours the home team, since they have a record of 4 wins in the last 4 matches. Sure enough, the last time these teams met at this stadium, on 19‑10‑2022, in a match for the KNVB Beker, Excelsior won by (5‑1). The goals of the match were scored by M. Azarkan (49' ), L. Lamprou (44' and 39' ) and R. Kharchouch (53' and 22' ), for Excelsior, and by K. Kostons (65' ), for MVV. In this match the home advantage may play an important role, as both teams present significant differences between home and away performances.
Analysis Excelsior
The home team is currently in the 3rd position of the league, with 17 points won, after 5 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in a home match against Jong AZ, by (4‑2). In the last match, they lost in an away match against Roda JC Kerkrade, by (3‑0). This is a team that is often stronger at home, with the help of its supporters, so they usually make good use of the home advantage, since in the last 30 matches they register 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses in away matches; against 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses at their stadium.
They have won the last 4 home matches for this competition. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 7 of the last 9 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 8 of the last 9 matches for this competition. In their home matches there is a tendency for goals, since 14 of the last 20 matches have ended with Over 2,5 goals.
They have won the last 4 home matches for this competition. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 7 of the last 9 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 8 of the last 9 matches for this competition. In their home matches there is a tendency for goals, since 14 of the last 20 matches have ended with Over 2,5 goals.
Excelsior is the favourite to win the Eerste Divisie 2024/2025 according to long-term betting markets. The team could take the lead this round, relying on their excellent home form, having secured 12 points from 4 home matches with 14 goals scored, making them the best home attack in the league. Overall, the team boasts the second-best attack in the division with 23 goals. These impressive stats are a result of Excelsior being the second-best in terms of shot attempts, averaging 17.6 shots and 6.3 shots on target per game. Coach Ruben den Uil is expected to make adjustments to the starting lineup in their usual 4-3-3 formation, with right-back Ilias Bronkhorst returning after serving a suspension for accumulating 5 yellow cards. Bronkhorst is crucial, ranking as one of the league's top assist providers with 4 assists in 8 appearances. His return is particularly timely, as his backup, Jose de Almeida Reis, suffered an injury in the previous match and was replaced by Zach Booth. Key players for Excelsior include midfielder Noah Naujoks, the league's assist leader with 5 in 9 matches, and Swedish forward Richie Omorowa, the top scorer of the Eerste Divisie with 8 goals in 9 games.
Confirmed Lineup: Calvin Raatsie, Django Warmerdam, Ilias Bronkhorst, Kik Pierie, Seb Loeffen, Chadwick Zachary Booth, Lennard Hartjes, Noah Naujoks, Jacky Donkor, Seydou Fini, Jerolldino Armantrading.
Coach: M. Dijkhuizen.
Analysis MVV
The away team is currently in the 16th position of the league, with 8 points won, after 2 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses. In the penultimate match, they tied in an away match against FC Emmen, by (1‑1). In the last match, they won in a home match against VVV‑Venlo, by (2‑0). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses in away matches, with 18 goals scored and 24 conceded; against 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses at their stadium, with 32 goals scored and 15 conceded. In the last 5 away league matches MVV has a record of 3 draws and 2 losses, so they have won 3 points out of 15 possible.
In this competition, they haven’t won any of the last 5 away matches. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. This is a team that has had a hard time trying to score first. They have opened up the score in only 2 of the last 10 matches for the Eerste Divisie, they have reached half‑time in front in 1 of those 2 matches and have held on to the lead in 1. In 10 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 7 times and have only turned the score around in 1.
In this competition, they haven’t won any of the last 5 away matches. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. This is a team that has had a hard time trying to score first. They have opened up the score in only 2 of the last 10 matches for the Eerste Divisie, they have reached half‑time in front in 1 of those 2 matches and have held on to the lead in 1. In 10 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 7 times and have only turned the score around in 1.
MVV is still striving for a strong performance to secure their first away win in the 2024/2025 Eerste Divisie season. The team has struggled on the road, ranking as the second-worst away side with just 3 points from 5 matches and boasting the worst away attack with only 2 goals scored. Given this scenario, the fans are hopeful that the team's strength in defence will make up for their lack of goals, as MVV leads the league in tackles, averaging 21.3 tackles per game. Coach Edwin Hermans has no known absentees and may even field the same starting lineup as in the previous match, utilizing the 4-4-2 formation. One standout player is Belgian goalkeeper Romain Matthys, who ranks third in the league for saves, with an average of 4.7 saves per game.
Confirmed Lineup: Romain Matthys, Wout Coomans, Ozgur Aktas, Lars Schenk, Andrea Librici, Ilano Silva Timas, Marko Kleinen, Bryan Smeets, Nabil El Basri, Ayman Kassimi, Camil Mmaee.
Coach: K. Wels.
Frequently asked questions
👉 Which is the recommended bet for the Excelsior MVV match?
The tip and bet suggestion for the Excelsior vs MVV match, on 18 October 2024, of the preview written by the editors of Betting Academy Nigeria, goes to: Excelsior to score in Both Halves ⇒ bet available on betfair.
👉 In which stadium will the Excelsior MVV be played?
The Excelsior vs MVV on 18 October 2024 will be played at Rotterdam, Van Donge & De Roo Stadion.
Eerste Divisie
Eerste Divisie - 2024/2025
- 37% 140 / 380 Games
- Home team wins 35.71%
- Draws 27.86%
- Away team wins 36.43%
- Over 1.5 76.43%
- Over 2.5 55.71%
- Over 3.5 40.71%
- Goals 410
- Goals /match 2.93
- Goals /match home 1.51
- Goals /match away 1.41
- Both teams score 53.57%
- Goals after 80' 18.29%
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