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Bahia Atlético Nacional betting prediction


Betting suggestion:

As we can see, this is a match between two teams aiming to secure qualification for the round of 16 in the Copa Libertadores 2025. Therefore, even playing away from home, Atlético Nacional will certainly look to exploit counterattacks to surprise their opponents, relying on an offensive system that averages nearly 2 goals per game. On the other hand, with the support of their fans and also averaging nearly 2 goals per match, Bahia will aim to control possession and create the best opportunities to secure victory. As a result, we expect an open match with two or more goals, which has been the case in 20 of the 29 games played by Bahia this year and in 12 of the 19 matches played by Atlético Nacional.
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Preview
Bahia and Atl. Nacional meet at Arena Fonte Nova, in a match for this stage of the CONMEBOL Libertadores (Group Stage). There is no recent record of official head‑to‑heads between these two teams. The last head‑to‑head was played on 25‑10‑2013 and ended with the final score: Bahia (1‑0) Atlético Nacional. In this match the home advantage may play an important role, since Atl. Nacional presents significant differences between home and away performances.

Analysis Bahia

After 1 win and 1 draw, the home team comes to this 3rd round in the 2nd position of Group F, with 4 points won. In the previous round, they won in an away match against Nacional by (0‑1), after they have tied in their first group stage by (1‑1) at home against Internacional. This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 6 wins, 7 draws and 2 losses in away matches, with 19 goals scored and 14 conceded; against 10 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss at their stadium, with 33 goals scored and 8 conceded. They come to this match after a home win against Ceará by (1‑0). Bahia has won 6, tied 3 and lost 1 of the last 10 home matches.

They haven’t lost any of the last 6 matches for this competition. Their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in 5 of the last 6 matches for this competition. They have been able to score first and have done so in 12 of the last 15 matches, they have reached half‑time in advantage in 7 of those 12 matches and have held on to the lead until the end of the 90' in 7 of them. there is 1 period that stands out in the last 20 home matches for all competitions: they have suffered 7 of their 15 goals between minutes (76'‑90').

Bahia enters this third round of the Copa Libertadores 2025 group stage motivated after securing a home victory in their last match, in the 5th round of the Brazilian Serie A, following 3 consecutive home draws. Specifically in the Libertadores, Bahia opened with a draw at home against Internacional but won away to Nacional in the second round, sharing the top spot of Group F with Inter, only behind on goal difference. Finally, it’s worth noting that Bahia won 10 of the 16 matches played at home this year, drawing 4 and losing only twice. Therefore, the team is looking forward to securing a victory against Atlético Nacional in this direct clash for a spot in the round of 16 of the Libertadores.

Confirmed Lineup: Marcos Felipe, David Duarte, Santiago Ramos Mingo, L. Batista da Silva Junior, Gilberto, Éverton Ribeiro, Caio Alexandre, Jean Lucas, Cauly Oliveira, Erick da Costa Farias, Luciano Rodríguez Rosales.
Coach: R. Mücke Ceni.

Analysis Atl. Nacional

The away team comes to his 3rd round of Group F in the 3rd position, with 3 points won, after 1 win and 1 loss. In their debut in this group stage they won at home against Nacional by (3‑0). In the second round, they lost in an away match against Internacional by (3‑0). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses in away matches, with 16 goals scored and 16 conceded; against 11 wins and 4 draws at their stadium, with 36 goals scored and 10 conceded. In their last match, for the Primera A, they got an away loss against Deportivo Cali by (1‑0). In the last 10 away matches Atl. Nacional has won 2, tied 4 and lost 4. In 15 matches, they have conceded the first goal 5 times and have never been able to turn the score around. In the last 20 away matches for all competitions there is 1 period that stands out: they have scored 9 of their 23 goals between minutes (16'‑30').

Atlético Nacional enters this third round of the Copa Libertadores 2025 group stage needing to earn points away from home to stay firmly in the race for a spot in the round of 16. After starting the competition with a 3-0 home win over Nacional (a traditional Paraguayan team), Atlético could not withstand Internacional’s pressure and lost 3-0 away in the second round, dropping to third place, one point behind both Inter and Bahia (the current leaders and runners-up). However, it is important to highlight the high level of competitiveness of Atlético Nacional, who finished 2024 with titles in both the Liga Clausura and the Copa de Colombia.

Confirmed Lineup: David Ospina, William Tesillo, Andrés Román, Camilo Cándido Aquino, Mateus Uribe, Jorman Campuzano, Elkin José Rivero Almario, Juan José Arias, Dairon Asprilla, Andrés Sarmiento, Alfredo Morelos.
Coach: P. Autuori de Mello.

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Frequently asked questions

The tip and bet suggestion for the Bahia vs Atl. Nacional match, on 25 April 2025, of the preview written by the editors of Betting Academy Nigeria, goes to: Over 1,5 goals ⇒ bet available on bet365.

The Bahia vs Atl. Nacional on 25 April 2025 will be played at Salvador, Arena Fonte Nova.

The most voted bet by tipsters at Betting Academy Nigeria, for the Bahia Atl. Nacional match, on the "match odds" market, was a win by Bahia at with 69% of the tips.

 

CONMEBOL Libertadores - 2025

  • 99% 125 / 126 Games

  • Home team wins 48.8%
  • Draws 23.2%
  • Away team wins 28%
  • Over 1.5 72%
  • Over 2.5 47.2%
  • Over 3.5 25.6%
  • Goals 322
  • Goals /match 2.58
  • Goals /match home 1.53
  • Goals /match away 1.05
  • Both teams score 44%
  • Goals after 80' 18.63%
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